Whoa 12z GFS

That’s a sweet looking damaging wind signal Saturday morning. Easily 50+ gusts with that setup. Notice the difference between the 12z run and the 06z or 00z run. The biggest is how fast the low closes off and stall. The 12z run closes the low off faster, keeps the storm stronger, and stalls it along the Maine coast like last night’s Euro. The overnight GFS runs pushed the storm further north toward northern Maine and New Brunswick.

We’ll see what develops but I’m becoming more confident in a major upslope snow event along the spine of the Green Mountains in Vermont and even in northern New Hampshire and northwest Maine. Jay Peak, for example, shouldn’t have much of a problem picking up a foot. A coating of snow seems like a possibility in elevated towns in SNE with the exception of the Berkshires where a few inches are possible.

Ryan

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