Well isn’t this storm a real treat to forecast. My forecast from yesterday is going to bust in a big way. No denying that – this forecast has been a train wreck from the beginning. While we’re much better than we used to be – meteorology continues to be a humbling science!
All that said, I for one am excited about a Friday morning snowstorm! This storm has trended stronger and farther west just about every run since Tuesday. The reason why is that a powerful upper level disturbance will swing through and produce a rather expansive – and impressive – swath of snow.
There will be a few issues to contend with here. One issue is going to be timing the transition from rain to snow – and even a bit of sleet. This forecast sounding for the area around New London shows that potential around 4 a.m. tomorrow with the atmosphere hovering around 0c.
Expect a real mess tomorrow morning across the state. Heavy, wet snow will cause issues and I expect roads to be quite messy in most areas. There are several things that make me quite bullish on this event – including our short range ensembles all showing a very significant storm.
This plume diagram from BDL shows mean precipitation around 0.8″ with many higher members! That would be approximately 8″ of snow though some will be lost to mixing at the onset.
I expect this storm will be a fun one for us weather geeks and a real pain for commuters tomorrow.